Rates and currencies
Dollar index
The dollar against six major currencies, the euro weighing most.
101.59up +0.02%today
Trading now
Prices from the exchanges, some 15 minutes late. Past moves say nothing about future ones.
Key numbers
- Previous close
- 101.57
- Today’s range
- 101.21 – 101.65
- 52-week range
- 96.22 – 102.58
- 1 week
- down −0.44%
- 1 month
- down −0.24%
- 3 months
- up +1.62%
- This year
- up +3.37%
- 1 year
- up +1.39%
Why it is moving
Nothing in today’s news bears on it directly.
Which way it leans, and how far it could go
No clear trend: above its 50-day average but down 0.6% in a month.
A typical day: ±0.3% (±0.26)
We keep score: every day each lean is checked a day later, and how often they were right will show here once 20 have been checked.
| Over the | Likely range | Wider range |
|---|---|---|
| Next hour | 101.54 – 101.64 ±0.1% | 101.48 – 101.70 |
| Next day | 101.33 – 101.85 ±0.3% | 101.08 – 102.10 |
| Next week | 101.01 – 102.17 ±0.6% | 100.46 – 102.73 |
| Next month | 100.41 – 102.79 ±1.2% | 99.29 – 103.95 |
Where it should end the period two times in three (likely) and nineteen times in twenty (wider), if the coming days swing as much as the recent ones: a volatility forecast from its past year, weighted to the last weeks. Our lean puts together how today’s news bears on it and its trend; it can be wrong, and markets can move more. Not investment advice.
Coming up
- US jobs report High impact
It measures hiring, wages and unemployment in the world's largest economy. It guides expectations for Fed policy and moves stocks, bonds and the dollar.
Expected 0.3% · Last time 0.1%
- US consumer sentiment, early November Medium impact
A University of Michigan survey of how households view the economy and prices. It can affect views on spending and inflation.
Expected 48.1 · Last time 46.3
- US consumer price inflation High impact
The consumer price index tracks how fast prices rise for households. It strongly influences Fed rate expectations and moves bonds, stocks and the dollar.
- US producer prices Medium impact
The producer price index tracks price changes at the wholesale level. It can hint at inflation pressure that later reaches consumers.
- Federal Reserve rate decision High impact
The Fed sets the main US interest rate. Its decision and the press conference guide borrowing costs and prices across global markets.
If… US jobs report
- ▲Hiring and pay beat expectations. Higher yields tend to firm the dollar.
- ▼Hiring and pay fall short. Lower yields tend to soften the dollar.
On its last 11 release days Dollar index moved 0.3% on average, up or down; at most 0.7%.
If… US consumer price inflation
- ▲Inflation hotter than expected. Higher rate expectations tend to support the dollar.
- ▼Inflation cooler than expected. Lower rate expectations tend to soften the dollar.
On its last 11 release days Dollar index moved 0.2% on average, up or down; at most 0.4%.
If… Federal Reserve rate decision
- ▲Fed raises rates. Higher US rates tend to firm the dollar.
Prices come from the exchanges and can be 15 minutes late; crypto trades around the clock. Today’s range is read every 15 minutes. Not investment advice.