Commodities

Gold

Gold in dollars a troy ounce (the nearest futures contract).

$4,097.90down −0.38%today

Trading now

down −0.38%over 1 day
$4,145.90$4,094.1004:45 UTC21:45 UTC

Prices from the exchanges, some 15 minutes late. Past moves say nothing about future ones.

Key numbers

Previous close
$4,113.50
Today’s range
$4,094.10 – $4,145.90
52-week range
$3,898.90 – $5,318.40
1 week
up +1.65%
1 month
down −2.13%
3 months
down −4.69%
This year
down −5.60%
1 year
up +2.63%

Why it is moving

Nothing in today’s news bears on it directly.

Which way it leans, and how far it could go

Slight lean down

Trend: below its 50-day average and down 1.0% in a month.

A typical day: ±1.5% (±$61.87)

We keep score: every day each lean is checked a day later, and how often they were right will show here once 20 have been checked.

Over theLikely rangeWider range
Next hour$4,085.02 – $4,110.82 ±0.3%$4,072.69 – $4,123.26
Next day$4,036.50 – $4,160.23 ±1.5%$3,978.42 – $4,220.96
Next week$3,961.88 – $4,238.59 ±3.4%$3,835.54 – $4,378.20
Next month$3,823.99 – $4,391.43 ±6.9%$3,578.27 – $4,692.99

Where it should end the period two times in three (likely) and nineteen times in twenty (wider), if the coming days swing as much as the recent ones: a volatility forecast from its past year, weighted to the last weeks. Our lean puts together how today’s news bears on it and its trend; it can be wrong, and markets can move more. Not investment advice.

Coming up

  1. US jobs report High impact

    It measures hiring, wages and unemployment in the world's largest economy. It guides expectations for Fed policy and moves stocks, bonds and the dollar.

    Expected 0.3% · Last time 0.1%

  2. US consumer price inflation High impact

    The consumer price index tracks how fast prices rise for households. It strongly influences Fed rate expectations and moves bonds, stocks and the dollar.

  3. Federal Reserve rate decision High impact

    The Fed sets the main US interest rate. Its decision and the press conference guide borrowing costs and prices across global markets.

If… US jobs report

  • ▲Hiring and pay fall short. Gold often benefits when yields and the dollar ease.

On its last 11 release days Gold moved 1.2% on average, up or down; at most 3.1%.

If… US consumer price inflation

    On its last 11 release days Gold moved 1.2% on average, up or down; at most 3.6%.

    $1,000 in Gold

    Had you put $ into Gold a month ago, it would be worth – now.

    From the prices in the chart, before any fees or taxes. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.

    Prices come from the exchanges and can be 15 minutes late; crypto trades around the clock. Today’s range is read every 15 minutes. Not investment advice.

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