Stocks
S&P 500
The 500 largest companies listed in the United States, weighted by their market value: the usual yardstick for US stocks.
7,353.73down −4.36%today
Closed · last price
Prices from the exchanges, some 15 minutes late. Past moves say nothing about future ones.
Key numbers
- Previous close
- 7,688.62
- Today’s range
- 7,353.73 – 7,591.97
- 52-week range
- 6,343.72 – 7,818.93
- 1 week
- down −4.75%
- 1 month
- down −5.95%
- 3 months
- down −4.62%
- This year
- up +7.42%
- 1 year
- up +8.20%
Why it is moving
Weighs. Tech rout over AI rule worries erased post-midterm gains.
Tech and AI shares drive US selloff
The Nasdaq fell 5.5% in its worst day in 18 months and entered a correction. Investors fear tougher rules could slow the AI industry after the midterm elections. US stocks gave up their post-election gains.
Read about it
Which way it leans, and how far it could go
Tech rout over AI rule worries erased post-midterm gains. Trend: below its 50-day average and down 5.7% in a month.
A typical day: ±1.3% (±93.23)
We keep score: every day each lean is checked a day later, and how often they were right will show here once 20 have been checked.
| Over the | Likely range | Wider range |
|---|---|---|
| Next hour | Closed | |
| Next day | 7,261.09 – 7,447.55 ±1.3% | 7,173.25 – 7,538.75 |
| Next week | 7,148.19 – 7,565.18 ±2.8% | 6,956.27 – 7,773.90 |
| Next month | 6,938.67 – 7,793.62 ±5.8% | 6,562.26 – 8,240.66 |
Where it should end the period two times in three (likely) and nineteen times in twenty (wider), if the coming days swing as much as the recent ones: a volatility forecast from its past year, weighted to the last weeks. Our lean puts together how today’s news bears on it and its trend; it can be wrong, and markets can move more. Not investment advice.
Coming up
- US jobs report High impact
It measures hiring, wages and unemployment in the world's largest economy. It guides expectations for Fed policy and moves stocks, bonds and the dollar.
Expected 0.3% · Last time 0.1%
- US consumer sentiment, early November Medium impact
A University of Michigan survey of how households view the economy and prices. It can affect views on spending and inflation.
Expected 48.1 · Last time 46.3
- US consumer price inflation High impact
The consumer price index tracks how fast prices rise for households. It strongly influences Fed rate expectations and moves bonds, stocks and the dollar.
- US producer prices Medium impact
The producer price index tracks price changes at the wholesale level. It can hint at inflation pressure that later reaches consumers.
- Federal Reserve rate decision High impact
The Fed sets the main US interest rate. Its decision and the press conference guide borrowing costs and prices across global markets.
If… US jobs report
- ↕Hiring and pay beat expectations. Good growth news can clash with worries over higher rates.
- ↕Data close to forecasts. Stocks would likely keep focusing on the tech selloff.
On its last 11 release days S&P 500 moved 0.8% on average, up or down; at most 2.6%.
If… US consumer price inflation
- ↕Inflation in line with expectations. Stocks would likely follow tech and AI headlines instead.
- ▲Inflation cooler than expected. Stocks usually welcome easing rate pressure.
On its last 11 release days S&P 500 moved 0.5% on average, up or down; at most 1.6%.
If… Federal Reserve rate decision
- ↕Fed holds rates steady. Relief at no hike could offset worries about future ones.
Our stories
Prices come from the exchanges and can be 15 minutes late; crypto trades around the clock. Today’s range is read every 15 minutes. Not investment advice.