Stocks

VIX fear gauge

How much the S&P 500 is expected to swing over the next thirty days, read from options prices. Readings above 30 are usually taken as fear.

28.18up +69.66%today

Closed · last price

up +69.66%over 1 day
28.1816.6114:15 UTC21:00 UTC

Prices from the exchanges, some 15 minutes late. Past moves say nothing about future ones.

Key numbers

Previous close
16.61
Today’s range
19.40 – 28.18
52-week range
13.47 – 31.05
1 week
up +63.84%
1 month
up +87.74%
3 months
up +86.01%
This year
up +88.49%
1 year
up +56.47%

Why it is moving

Pushes up. Tech rout drove a surge in market fear.

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Which way it leans, and how far it could go

Leans up

Tech rout drove a surge in market fear. Trend: above its 50-day average and up 86.9% in a month.

A typical day: ±14.1% (±3.98)

We keep score: every day each lean is checked a day later, and how often they were right will show here once 20 have been checked.

Over theLikely rangeWider range
Next hourClosed
Next day24.48 – 32.44 ±14.1%21.39 – 37.13
Next week20.57 – 38.60 ±31.5%15.21 – 52.22
Next month14.78 – 53.71 ±64.5%7.96 – 99.77

Where it should end the period two times in three (likely) and nineteen times in twenty (wider), if the coming days swing as much as the recent ones: a volatility forecast from its past year, weighted to the last weeks. Our lean puts together how today’s news bears on it and its trend; it can be wrong, and markets can move more. Not investment advice.

Our stories

Prices come from the exchanges and can be 15 minutes late; crypto trades around the clock. Today’s range is read every 15 minutes. Not investment advice.

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